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Institute for the Study of War 24 May 2024

“The past seven months have offered a framework to Russia for how to demoralize the West and prompt it to abandon Ukraine to certain defeat. Putin and the Russian military command likely believe that they can outlast the level of aid that the West has committed to giving Ukraine in the near to medium term and that continuous Russian offensive operations will eventually convince the West that Ukrainian victory is hopeless. The West must not surrender to Russia's strategic effort to destroy Western commitment to Ukrainian survival and must remember that Ukrainian victory has always been possible as long as the West remains committed to that goal.”

Read more in the new special report from ISW Russia Analyst Riley Bailey and Dr. Frederick Kagan, “How Delays in Western Aid Gave Russia the Initiative: From the Ukrainian Counteroffensive to Kharkiv.” https://isw.pub/RUOffensive2024




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